Re: 10 10 against a TAG
What does a supposedly solid tag limp with here preflop? I tend to think his stats indicate more that he is timid than he has been running cold if hes limping first in from mp.
The part of is range that I'm most interested in are low pocketpairs and assorted Axs. The flop call doesnt tell me that much because I think he is playing poorly, I still put him on a low pp, A7 maybe 10J or QJ and maybe random and weird holdings because he play seems a bit random and weird.
He may have been waiting for a safe turn to raise a low pp, not unreasonable given the weak tight vibes hes giving off. That puts us ahead of 3,4,5,6,8,9 and behind A7, 10J, QJ, 9J. I'm not worried about being precise here because A) he is playing a bit oddly and B) we have mid pair HU against a taggish type player on a board that often misses us. We beat plenty here and I'm not folding.
The only other question is whether raising might protect us from a bluff catching on the river or ruin his shot at a free showdown raise. Personally I consider this guy relatively unknown and would like to showdown cheaply, but I can envision a case for a more aggressive line.
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