Re: Overpair JJ in position on a draw-heavy board
Er, A9s definitely has odds to call the allin on flop because the pot was so juiced by the mini raise pre flop.
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 6s 5s 3d
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
As 9s 458 46.26 514 51.92 18 1.82 0.472
Jc Jh 514 51.92 458 46.26 18 1.82 0.528
Although I prefer to push a strong draw, calling is +cEV for villain (0.472 * 2920 =~ 1378 and he only has to call 1250)
Depending on my mood I might just push JJ pf after 2 limpers, but that's just how I goof around in the Stars 55+5 turbos. Not really sure what tourney format this is as the stacks seem mysteriously deep for 15/30 blinds (some sort of 3-table sng??) I'd probably limp along in this situation and evaluate on the flop.
I'd probably put in a mini raise on the flop to try and tease any monsters out of hiding. I think most draws, even the nut flush, would just cc the raise, optimal or not I'm not really sure. If you do only get callers then I'd just assume they're on draws, so variance willing a safe card will come on turn (there aren't many actually) and THEN you can give bad odds, or push [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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