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PP $22, I plugged in CO pushing instead of raising, SnGPT says I should be folding QQ to a maniacal push range, and KK to a loose push range....what do you guys think?
PartyPoker, Big Blind is t150 (4 handed)
Converter on pregopoker.com
CO (t2670)
Hero (t915)
SB (t4135)
BB (t280)
Preflop: Hero is in Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
<font color="red">CO raises t520</font>, <font color="red"> Hero raises 915 (all in) </font>, <font color="gray">SB folds</font>, <font color="red"> BB calls 130 </font>, CO calls t395
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There's a lot of stuff going on here, and a lot of the replies don't make much sense to me.
First, depending on how CO has been playing the default "maniac" range of 22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs is probably considerably too tight. If big stack is passive, CO might raise about top 50% here, being happy to go in as a slight favorite with BB's random hand to eliminate him.
Second, there's a weakness to the analysis here that falls into the "ultra-short stack" category. If you fold, SnGPT assumes BB will also fold. This isn't a good assumption here, since BB will call a lot of the time, and that has important consequences for this bubble hand.
Since he's more or less out if he folds, and he's probably near 50/50 to double up or bust if he calls, then the analysis isn't considering the 50% chance that he doubles if you fold. This lowers your "Fold EV" quite a bit, since we're on the bubble.
Therefore, I think the analysis is overtightening your call range here due to the aforementioned effects. I call the QQ in practice, although I think I could possibly be convinced otherwise if the analysis was expanded to include the BB's call properly.
Considering action behind your fold is in the plans for improving SnGPT, but it's kind of a complex thing to do it well.
eastbay