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Old 11-22-2005, 10:28 PM
MCS MCS is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 143
Default Re: Top Conferences Top-to-Bottom Using Sagarin Predictor

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The fact that your Predictor has a 2-6 Mich. St. ahead of Wisconsin, NW, and Iowa is evidence enough that it is deeply flawed.

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No it's not. What it means is that you have to look beyond just win-loss record. You have to look at who a team played and how close their games were.

For example, one of MSU's out-of-conference games was a win over Notre Dame. They went to OT with Michigan and played at Ohio State and against Penn State to approximately 10-point losses. They destroyed the bad teams they played. That sounds like the profile of a decent team.

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Not to mention that it rates Minnesota ahead of Iowa after getting completely blown of the field by the Hawkeyes on Saturday.

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So what? This type of "conflict" is unavoidable when you rank teams. Georgia Tech beat Miami, who beat Virginia Tech, who beat Georgia Tech, who beat Miami...

If the predictor is so bad, why do experts use it to predict games?
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