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Old 09-16-2005, 03:40 PM
mcpherzen mcpherzen is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Vegas, Baby...24/7
Posts: 76
Default Re: Aces flops a set: Now fold???

[ QUOTE ]
Dealt to HERO (button): A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

UTG raises to T125, MP calls, MP+1 calls, HERO calls. BB calls.

FLOP: A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

UTG goes all, MP goes all in, MP1 goes all in.

HERO???

[/ QUOTE ]

Even if the hero is against K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] for the nut flush draw, J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]T [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] for the flopped straight, and K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] for bottom-two, he still wins the pot 25% of the time. With 3 people all-in ahead of him and 625 in the pot, he's got way better than the right odds to call, even in this worst case scenario.

And if he loses, maybe he'll learn that cold-calling a big raise and then 2 overcallers with AA and 3 opponents pre-flop is bad, bad, bad poker and you reap what you sow.

--Z
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