Thread: tilting tonight
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Old 11-12-2005, 01:31 PM
rikz rikz is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
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Default Re: tilting tonight

Holy cow, what game has a 82o raise called by Q5o out of position?! Man, if you tighten up some and play better starting cards, you'll clean up. Sounds like a home game where everybody like to play too many hands and take any pair too far after the flop. I think "mixing up your game" with a 28o LP preflop raise is just terrible. At least mix it up with a hand that has a chance at somekind of a reasonalbe future, like 87s or something.

As the hand played out, you floped a very well-disguised two-pair, and managed to get villain's money all in while you were a big favorite to win. So, post flop, you played just fine. Suck outs happen - although I'd have to say that you "sucked out" on him with that flop to begin with. If villain calls with Q5/pair of fives then he certainly would have called a continuation bet if you had a real hand like AKs. So, against a loose passive guy who will call with crap, you need good starting cards to raise, and a good (but not great) hand to bet. There is clearly not much fold equity against this guy.

PREFLOP:

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
2s 8c 613048 35.80 1082758 63.23 16498 0.96 0.363
5d Qh 1082758 63.23 613048 35.80 16498 0.96 0.637

But, you out flopped him and turned the tables. At that point, your push and villain's call was clearly best.

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
2s 8c 796 80.40 194 19.60 0 0.00 0.804
Qd 5h 194 19.60 796 80.40 0 0.00 0.196
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