Re: 15-30 AQ hand...
I included AK at first. I was going to include that and 47 and discount them both to about 30% because 47 is unlikely to call preflop and AK is likely to reraise, yet sometimes they don't. Adding AK doesn't really change much, if anything at all really.
If i were to add 44 77 that would change it but i very much doubt they'd play the flop so fast, i just never see it, it's always the turn, so they'd have to be discounted to about 10% chance, which wouldn't change much at all again.
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