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Old 09-06-2005, 01:19 PM
meow_meow meow_meow is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 180
Default Re: 10,000 hand of bad beats, whats the odds?

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Curious if you are playing correctly vs fish what the chances are that in 10,000 hands you have a -EV of lets say 2. Assume low limit like 3/6 or 2/4.

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Major problems with your question:
1) EV = 'expected' value, not results.
2) 'playing correctly' is ill defined.
3) specifying the limit is not important.

Let me reword and and try to answer:
Q. What is the probability that a player playing against a specific set of opponents with a playing style that yields a true winrate of 2BB/100hands (a good winrate) and a standard deviation of 13BB/100 will be a 2BB/100 loser over a 10k hand stretch?
A. Less than one in five hundred
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