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Old 07-17-2003, 04:01 AM
MMMMMM MMMMMM is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Posts: 4,103
Default Re: Phil\'s soooooooooo lucky

I'm more or less with rigoletto and Jimbo on this one.

How about crunching some numbers so we can see just how unusual Phil's performance has really been? Get some data: approximate number of tourneys entered, approximate size of the fields, finishes, net playing tourney profit (prizes vs. total entry fees ignoring other expenses)...at least that much.

Maybe his record, viewed statistically, isn't nearly as outstanding as the general impression created by a number of wins.

I think it's likely Phil does have, at least at times, a special talent which stands him well in tournaments. However before we worship it or dismiss all as luck, how about some data and SD's etc.? This should be right down your alley;-)

My guess is that he's better than the average tourney player but that his luck factor has been very significant too.

There's also clearly a lot more luck in poker than in hitting baseballs or golf balls.





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