Re: AJo in BB vs a Button Raise
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I read this from a 1/2 mindset and immediately put the preflop raiser on a blind steal with rags/missed hand. If the flop hits you at all, you're only realistically behind AA, AQ, AK, and QQ. Show strength and he's usually gone. A CR would probably have been higher +EV because he would bet in the lead 90% of the time trying to steal the pot, and there's a possible extra SB in there. If he was indeed on a draw, with 9:1 in a multiway, I doubt he's folding to a small bet. CRing gets you more money in the pot and can get rid of him even before the turn.
Would a 3-bet PF here be a smart move? You could probably knock out UTG (if he's calling from EP, he's probably behind AJo). Also, giving the button the opportunity to cap reveals a little more about his hand, right?
Just throwing some thoughts out, trying to get into the groove of hand analysis.
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Yeah, I put him on about a 60-70% chance of trying to isolate the limper/stealing. I think CR is the right move.
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