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Old 11-04-2005, 08:13 PM
Morrek Morrek is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 4
Default Re: Call all-in PF w/ QQ when Villain pushed PF w/ AA 5 hands earlier?

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Here's my thinking on this:

If he's a solid player, he's not massively overbetting like this, especially on my first hand at the table w/ no read on me...

Since from this I can infer he's not a solid player, can I not also infer he could be pushing with a range of hands?

Then, what are the odds he's dealt AA against my KK, and then 5 hands later, dealt AA or KK against my QQ?

Interested to hear thoughts on this line of thinking.

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The odds for it happening twice in a row is ofcourse very low, but that's not the real question here. It's simple math, if it's 1 in 40 or whatever the first time, then its that exact chance again no matter how many times it has already happened today or last week or whatever. Although it's not exactly the same thing with QQ vs KK/AA as KK vs AA you get the picture.
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