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Old 12-21-2005, 11:12 AM
gumpzilla gumpzilla is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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Default Re: Men Nguyen makes the best/worst fold ever at the 2003 WSOP ME

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Actually, you have to go one further and only assume AA, because it's a right call if Grey flips up kings. That's how sick a read that was.

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If half of the time he has KK and half of the time he has AA, which is what the situation is if you put him on the range KK/AA, I think you're still going to want to fold, because making a marginally correct call half of the time doesn't make up for getting pounded the other half of the time (though I haven't actually run the numbers, I'm pretty sure this is true). Let's also not neglect that it's possible for Men to say "Hmm, I think he has JJ+, I fold" thus making a bad decision that looks good in retrospect. I'm not sure if it's likely or not, but it's at least possible.
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