When your running game is averaging 2 yards a carry, all but an elite few of the QBs in the NFL would look terrible. Look how much better Anthony Wright was with a running game in the Monday night game. I think that TB will have enough of a running game vs Carolina to beat them at home. Just my opinion. If you disagree, go with the masses that are betting Carolina. SF has been tough at home this year on everyone except for Indianapolis, so this loss is not as bad as it looks on paper. I see value in TB, so I am betting them. I have been wrong about 47% this season, and wrong over 50% last three weeks, so there is an excellent chance you are right.