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Old 12-22-2005, 08:01 PM
schwza schwza is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2003
Posts: 113
Default Re: More Math Shortcuts (Inducing a bluff)

i like it. here's an example:

villain has 2k left, pot is 3k, villain has 4 outs.

pot is 1.5 as big as stack. add 1 to 2.5. 4 outs = 8%, so the answer is 20%. seems reasonable.

my only question is why you multiply by 2 for 0-4 outs and 2.5 for 5+ outs. seems like you should be multiplying by 100/46=2.17 (46 cards left in deck) regardless, and the fudge factor of calling that 2 is always better (and simpler) than 2.5. am i missing something?
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