I was playing around with two dimes this morning because I want to add the web results to a program that I made that analyzes hands. I came across something that does not make sense. First assumption a +EV is the expected value of making this about of bets if playing the hand over and over, so a +.38 would be +.38 times 1 or 2 in a 1/2 7card stud game? If my statement is correct please continue.
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=74381
pokenum -mc 500000 -7s tc 9c qh - th jh js - kh 5s 8c / 8s 5d 3c ks ts
7-card Stud Hi: 500000 sampled outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Tc 9c Qh 133923 26.78 365903 73.18 174 0.03 0.268
Js Jh Th 276268 55.25 223566 44.71 166 0.03 0.553
5s 8c Kh 89635 17.93 410357 82.07 8 0.00 0.179
Lets say you are hand 2 Sure your Q beats his J if it is live and you have a two card flush BUT one 8 is dead (2 really but you can't see one) and 2 Kings are dead, so your straigh is all but dead dead, your expected to win 1/4 times with a positive +.268. Would you play this hand against a full bet from the Jacks.
Ok now hand 3 you have a rainbow with a King dead, this is reported as a positive .179? How can you justify playing this hand against a full bet from the Jack?
I am surely missing something on this one, please help.