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Old 12-29-2005, 12:48 PM
Guruman Guruman is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 228
Default Re: Live Game - Incorporating reads

here's an excellent thread over in SSSH that deals with this concept brilliantly.

the underlying concept here is that inflating the pot even when you have neutral equity is -EV when you have to peel again on a whiff.

It doesn't apply directly to this turn play, but abstractly I think the thought process has merit.

In this example though, betting the turn is only correct to the extent that

--button would not have raised or checked through the turn
and
--button would have called a bet on the river if you had bet the turn, but would not have you had check/called it.
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