Re: 15/30 AJ in SB, 3bet to isolate gone wrong
It is really hard to put MP on any hands besides 22 or A8s IMO. Against those two hands you have 3 outs (6vs A8s - 3 combos, 0 against 22, 3 combos) and are getting 12.5 to 1, which makes a fold. If you think there is any way MP gets to the turn with 88 it is even more of a fold.
Also, with MP's numbers, I think the odds of him making a random bluff on the pot are roughly equal to the odds of a passive AQ or slowplayed AA or QQ. It would definitely be pertinent to know what his went to showdown numbers are as well. Fold this turn.
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