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Old 12-17-2005, 05:11 PM
AlanBostick AlanBostick is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: California
Posts: 127
Default Re: Does a decreased winrate have an exponential effect on variance?

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Hey guys, there is a mathematical reason your "swinginess" goes up when your winrate goes down as a result of tilt or other factors. Your swinginess is measured by your coefficient of variation, the ratio of your standard deviation to your winrate. As a result, your "swinginess" increases exponentially as your winrate approaches zero, even though your standard deviation stays the same.

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BZZZT! Thank you for playing.

Swinginess increases without limit as win rate goes to zero, but it most assuredly does not increase exponentially.
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