Re: Ditch this draw or play?
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Early in the PP 40k Guarantee. 10/15
Hero is dealth T7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] on the button.
1 fold, donk utg(~750) min raises to t30, utg+2(~800) calls, an mp player calls, hero calls t30 and the blinds come along.
Pot = t180
Flop comes: Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]9 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
blinds check, utg bets t15, utg+2 raises to t200 all the action folds to me...
Do I have to let this go? I figure I'm about even against his range.
What do you guys think?
Thanks-
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I think I'm calling here. I don't think you have any FE b/c villian who bet 200 will call a push. I guess I just have a feeling about it, he bet it so hard, I can't see him letting it go. I would also put UTG on a high PP 80% of the time here, I think he also likely calls an all in. I've seen his type of idiotic min raise PF, min raise post flop too many times turn out to be a high PP. So I want to keep him in this hand to give myself better odds.
If min raisor pushes and other villian calls, easy call here. But I think it's likely min raisor will just call and you get great odds to win a really big pot.
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