Re: Two Flop Bets w/ Not Much
I definitely like the first hand.
The second hand is tough for me. I don't think I value my overcards in this scenario enough (simply because they don't have pretty pictures on them), so consequently, my gut reaction is that you don't have enough of a draw to make your semibluff all that semi (all bluff instead). However, you can arguably give yourself 7 outs here, and you may get some folds. OTOH, on ragged boards like this, though, you'll get more people calling with a couple of overcards. Oh, wait, the same read applies to both hands? I like this one too, then. A reasonably aggressive player would probably bet this flop with just about anything he'd call with. He likely has overcards, but any overcards he'd be excited about holding he would have raised preflop. That leaves MP, and this is a board that's unlikely to have hit him. He may peel w/ an A, but I think you'll fold him or hit something often enough to make this +EV.
Edit: I missed the BDFD. This is an even better semibluff.
|