Re: Sanity Check
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I just about rule out JT based on this: He seems to know how to play postflop. If this is true he would've definitely raised either the flop or the turn.
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Unless Jen plays LAG (which doesn't seem to be the case), her pf raise made it seem like she was most likely holding AA/KK, maybe QQ/AKs. So then, why do you think a LAG (who plays well post-flop) wouldn't be willing to play a hand like J10 against hero's "advertised" range of hands?
Theoretically speaking, villain should have raised on the turn if he was holding JT, but if he knew hero most likely had AA/KK on that board, then why couldn't he slowplay it until the river? Especially if he knew hero would probably call what-seemed-like-an-overbet-bluff on the river.
I could also see villain playing suited Aces, like A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]-Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] or A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]-J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], this way as well since he check-called the flop, and again when he picked up more outs on the turn.
In summary,
JT - more likely
A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]-Q/J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] - somewhat likely
hero winning this hand - not very likely
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