Opinions on this satellite bubble push
24 +2 Satellite on Full-Tilt. 7 players left. Top 5 get the ticket.
Villain and I had a history of the last two tables. On both tables, he was to my left. On both tables, the action was tight and I stole his blinds repeatedly. He also caught me on a continuation-bet bluff around 50 hands before. blinds 150/300 with 50 ante. I have seen him call down with 2nd and 3rd pair, particularly against me.
UTG folds
Villain UTG+1 (~7,000 chips) bets 900. A tad bit higher than standard for him. Table likes to fold, so this amount would likely get him the blinds.
Fold to me in BB (~8,000 chips) (Ac9c). I call, expecting I'm likely against two face cards or 77-AA.
FLOP: 4d6c9h. (Pot: 2,300)
I check into him. In my experience, he will continuation bet here 100% of the time (whether he hits the flop or not). He usually folds to a re-raise. He bets about 1,500.
I push.
Opinions?
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