[fnord_too]

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I don't know if I made my original question clear or not, but nobody has really addressed it yet.

Assuming you have a fair deal or maybe even slightly better than fair (based on ICM or something), could refusing to chop be -EV b/c opponents would be playing differently to get you out faster? Or would it be +EV b/c opponents were playing differently (aka poorly) to get you out faster?

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I think people may be pissed at you, and may play more passively against each other if you are a short stack (thinking when you go they can deal, so why risk things). You are a big NL player, so I doubt people possibly tilting against you will lower your EV. It will probalby increase both your EV and variance.