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Old 06-06-2005, 03:51 AM
Lloyd Lloyd is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: San Francisco
Posts: 412
Default Re: turn push with pair and flush draw

Pre-flop: I hope you're raise was simply a steal attempt and not because you had A7. If so, fine. If not, not so fine.

Flop: Raise looks good. You have 9 good outs and another 5 outs against a pair. I wouldn't mind getting all my money in the pot (pushing, not calling). But pushing looks too much like a draw and you guys have fairly deep stacks. So I like the raise.

Turn: What's up with his small bets? Kind of looks weak. Kind of looks like he's baiting you. Maybe he's on a flush draw and doing some sort of blocking bet. But with one card to come you're no longer a coinflip against a bigger pair. I don't think he has a set so I think you've got 13 outs still. Pushing makes the pot T7885 and it costs him T2385 to call. He's getting over 3 to 1 odds and he has you covered by a couple of thousand so even if he loses he's in okay shape. I would take a cheap turn card and see if I can draw out on him. I think a push will get called and you're about a 2.5 to 1 dog.
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