Re: Value Bet this river?
Given your read on <font color="red">CO</font>, I think you did a reasonable job with this one.
Preflop: why the raise? Seems a bit frisky to me. If you're going for an early steal, I think it's still too early for a 9-handed 3/6 PP table. If you're going for a value raise against <font color="red">CO</font> and <font color="red">BB</font> who you expect to call, you're going to run into trouble if someone else at the table calls (or raises) with an honest-to-goodness hand. Now, if YOU were the CO and your current CO had limped from MP, I can see an isolation raise making good sense here.
I like the flop reraise. CO is probably betting a high club, a weaker J, or some total nonsense. Your three-bet reasserts yourself, faces MP3 with calling two, and has great value from your top pair, strong kicker.
Turn is blank; you bet it, CO shuts his raise-hole. You're ahead here.
River is relatively blank. I bet it for value and call a raise. Weak opponents are going to pay you off with a weak J, a T, a 5, a low pocket, or even a stray ace. Also, the higher his WSD rate is, the more likely I would be to bet this one for value. You're basically weighing the likelihood that you're beaten (slim) and he raises (also slim) against the chance that you've got him beaten (high) and he calls anyways (low to high depending on his hand and his style). Generically speaking, I think a bet is +EV here.
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