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Old 12-03-2005, 02:21 PM
numeri numeri is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
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Default Re: Strong draw against a few players

So here are my thoughts. We obviously have the 9 outs for the flush. There are 3 J's, but one makes the BDF, so let's say 2.75. We have the A overcard, which is usually worth ~1.5 outs, so that's about 13.25 outs. With those outs, we'll improve about 29% of the time, so we need 3 other callers. (If there are 3 callers, we're putting in 25% of the $$$, but winning 29% of the time.)

So it's really close. UTG will call almost all the time. BB cold-called 2 on the flop, so he'll usually call. Who knows about MP. I just don't think they'll all call often enough to make a bet +EV. I take the free card.
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