Re: Why Current Online Win Rates Won\'t Persist
I think that online games (Party anyway) are getting tougher and may continue to get tougher, but I think they will reach an equilibrium. Sure, some fish will either give up or learn to play well enough that they are no longer fish, but I think an equilibrium will be reached. There are plenty of fish who gamble for entertainment, and will continue to do so. The casinos haven't run out of slot and table game players, and I don't think poker (online or B&M) will run out of fish any time soon. Also, as the games get tougher, some of the borderline winners will becom losers. If their primary motivation for playing is to make money, and they find it is no longer possible, some of them will quit. I'm more concerned about bots. I think making a bot that can play winning poker is very difficult, but I don't think it's impossible. If I had a year to spare, I think I could do it myself. Unless poker sites' bot detection is good enough to keep most of the bots out, I think they could eventually dry up the games.
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