Re: TJ suited....
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Was it you who told me not to make plays on people without reads??
I dont remember...but the Aggro 6max limit player in me likes the play...
[/ QUOTE ]
yes that was me, but i have 15 outs and i think enough fold equity to make this play work. maybe not...
i guess i was just wondering if this play is good at the 100's...
[/ QUOTE ]
<discalimer: quick calculations, probably wrong>
If he folds: +$35.5
If he calls: ((15/45) * 72.5) - ((30/45) * 49) = $24.17-$32.7 = -$8.5
breakeven point:
0 = X*35.5 + (1-X)*-8.5
0 = 35.5X - 8.5 + 8.5X
8.5 = 44X
X ~= 19%
</disclaimer>
Even if my calculations aren't correct he doesn't need to fold very often to make this play a good one.
|