Re: Close one - counting outs excercise :)
I have some thoughts on the flop play that involves this kind of hand.
How about not betting and take free card. Why this "weak" aproach you probably think, well here is my reasoning:
1) You bet and he folds - you win a small pot, positive metagame value
2) You bet and he calls - i have no clue, probably top set and wrapper.
3) You bet and he raises - will you not now find yourself commited in the pot and will have to continue to call if the turn doesnt pair? And you most likely are dog, problem is how big of one.
4) You check and have position on the turn meaning u can raise, check or fold depending on the card and hence get a higher EV and lower variance?
Thoughts?
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