Re: A8o
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The likely hand is overcards and his read indeed was...
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There are lots of gungho LAG-TAGs who will raise this flop because they are the PFR and it's their turn
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That's what the OP was tying to do.
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OP really has no read beyond roughly TAG. Consider that 18/17/5 over 60 hands means roughly 10 VP$IPs and 9 PFRs preflop. He's probably seen about 12 flops total and his postflop AF = 5 is probably about 10 bets+raises divided by 2 calls.
The statistical significance of all this is roughly nil. I assume Villain is probably some sort of TAG and I'll bias that range a little toward the tight side. That's my read.
If sublime doesn't think that's a fair assessment of what he knows about Villain then he can adjust my play advice accordingly.
[Side note: that Villain only called once preflop in 60 hands really looks like a fluke. We all have to defend our big blinds and complete the small blind sometimes. If all your playable starting hands in a small sample happen to be PFRs then of course the AF is apt to be abnormally high.]
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