Re: tough 55 hand
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I was originally going to say 3-bet the turn, but then I reconsidered after reading Fallen Hero's post. Now I put the opponent's range at: AA, KK, QQ or AK. Each equally possible.
AA = 6 ways
KK = 3 ways
QQ = 3 ways
AK = 16 ways
So, there are 22 hands you beat, and 6 which beat you.
This sounds like value-bet time to me. Which brings me back to 3-betting.
Who agrees or disagrees with my range & my line?
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even if they are all equally possible I think AK and AA fold to a turn 3bet while KK and QQ stack you, so I don't think there's any value in that.
PS: I don't think they are equally possible but it isn't an easy situation to quantify so I'd probably just do the same math you did and keep a mental note that the situation isn't as favorable as the math will show
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