[w_alloy]

Anyone who will fold to your raise around 35% in this situation you should never fold, and should probably always raise 23o against someone who folds 30% or 25% if they are weak postflop.

If they fold 35% of the time, you are paying .75 BB (cost of your raise) to win .75BB (both blinds). If you never win postflop, this would be costing you .225 BB (1.5*.35-.75). But the pot is now 2 BBs. It is very easy to have over .225BB ev in a 2BB pot on an unknown flop as the aggressor, even with 23o. If, for example, your opponent folds 35% of flops, you can autobet and make a .375BB profit (2.5*.35-.5) immediately.

So against an oppenent whowho folds his BB to SB raise 35%, and then folds the flop 35%, you can make a .15 BB profit with 2 uno cards (excuse the Norman Chad reference).

This means 35% is obviously a very conservative number, because you will win sometimes when your opponent calls or raises. You can go pretty low if your opponent sucks postflop.

I think this is a major leak in many tags games, I'm quite surprised by Josh.'s comments in this thread.