Re: QQ on the bubble heavy action ($55)
I just don't see how this is such an easy fold. If you play for first every time, this is very tuff hand. If you put the button as having an weakish ace, and the sb as having a big ace, is this not a clear call? As your equity rises with 2 aces being out. If you win this hand, you would be going to HU with almost a 3:1 chip advantage, while if you lose, your out.
Poker Stove results:
This is the range I put these two on.
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 41.6463 % 40.45% 01.20% { QQ }
Hand 2: 19.3645 % 18.53% 00.83% { 66+, A2s+, KQs, A2o+ }
Hand 3: 38.9893 % 37.28% 01.71% { JJ+, AQs+, AKo }
Say we tighten it up a bit.
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 38.8880 % 37.61% 01.28% { QQ }
Hand 2: 21.6530 % 20.16% 01.50% { 99+, A9s+, A9o+ }
Hand 3: 39.4590 % 37.30% 02.16% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Your still almost 40% to win this hand vs. the other two people. If you take this, are you just gambling? Or is your equity enough to make this a right call?
|