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Old 06-09-2005, 09:49 AM
Tilt Tilt is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 224
Default Re: Premeditated bluff. A good one or just a reckless gambool?

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I think that this bluff is almost completely worthless. Looking at the line here, you've called the first raise you've seen at the table by a known aggressive player post flop out of position with a really marginal hand. I think this is a fairly easy pf fold. You check-raise a diamond flop with a gutshot and a low diamond draw. Your villain calls. At this point, I would be hard pressed to put the villian on anything but nut diamonds or a set. Turn is an offsuit king, which gives you a couple more straight outs. My major problem is that if the villian is holding nut diamonds, many of his probable raising hands with that holding will include high straight features. He might have picked up a second pair or duplicated some of your straight outs. Worst case scenario, you're betting into top set with some redraws. I think I release here.

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I was going with a read. My read was AA. I thought he'd limp KK, so the king didn't scare me.

I have no idea what his sidecards are. Obviously I worry that he has the nut diamond draw. I didn't consider whether he would have my straight draws duplicated, but I doubt it, more likely he has a draw that I don't.

I figured he would fold aces, even with a diamond draw, in this situation. I was right. I showed my bluff. I went on to win 4 buyins at the table when people started calling my big bets with weak hands.

I thought this was a good example of picking a spot, and also how important it is to make sure you don't give away a good read on your hand preflop.
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