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Old 09-17-2005, 09:03 PM
Exitonly Exitonly is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 3
Default Re: Ace Jack on the button

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If he calls turn bet and then checks on river, you have a hard decision to make. You can check behind and hope pair of jacks is good, you can push hoping to induce a fold but not being sure if he is capable of folding a better hand.

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a river push is a pretty terrible idea.... i dont see how he could be capable of folding a better hand, villain doesn't have QQ+, and he's not folding a K or 66.

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And back to the strength of AJo.

Yea it's a vulnerable hand, and definitely missplyaed often... but the early stages of a tournament you're supposed to push your edges and try and accumulate chips... vs villains huge range here, which i put at [22+,A2s+,KTs+,QTs+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,76s,A5o+,KJo+, QJo] and i may have even understated it... you're a 55% favorite.. calling gains no information and you probably have to fold to a non A/J flop.

so.. calling you lose value cause you'll lose to a continuation on the flop... and folding you're going to fold the best hand more often than not...

so i dont see how you can say it's a "clear-cut best play in this situation"

it's definitely not.
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