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Old 12-03-2005, 03:45 AM
pergesu pergesu is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 2
Default Re: Following your gut

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You need to push or check initially on the flop.

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Sounds like an interesting line... Care to elaborate a little bit more?

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I can't speak for lastchance, but here's my take on it.

Pushing forces your opponent to make the decision, and doesn't allow him to make a c/r that puts you in an uncomfortable position. You put max pressure on him and he can't outplay you.

If you check, I think you have to push the turn as long as he doesn't bet into you. It's the same reasoning as above, the difference being that I think you have a higher success rate of getting him to fold if he does in fact have a flush draw.

So many players are willing to call their stack off on a flush draw with two cards to come, but way less willing to do so with one card to come. You definitely don't want to be called if you shove the flop. By checking, you increase your chances of pushing him off his hand if he doesn't turn a pair. Yeah you're giving him a free card to catch one of his outs...but if he was going to call his stack on the flop anyway, does it hurt you at all? Nope, and in fact it's a lot better not to risk your stack. I don't think you have to worry about getting called on the turn, because as I said most players don't call huge bets on flush draws with only one card to come, and he would almost certainly bet a pair + a flush draw.

If it's the A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] instead of the 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] on the flop, I'd just shove the flop and hope for a call. But since you're not very far ahead of him (if at all) then you want to minimize your risk and maximize your chances of pushing him off his weak hand.
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