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Old 10-18-2005, 12:06 PM
arcticfox arcticfox is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Surrey, UK
Posts: 93
Default Re: Interesting Stud 8/B Theory Question

[ QUOTE ]
assume that there is about 7 BB in the pot, it is one BB for you to call, there were two other dead low cards out on third and nothing else besides what you've seen. The queens bet out when they paired on fifth and then the kings bet out when he paired on sixth. What's your play?

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you closing the action on 6th? If so its an insta-call with 7 BBs in the pot. If you are not closing and the queens are to act behind you then its closer if you fear it gets capped on 6th but I'd still call and hope the queens call behind. You are now 36% to make a low on 7th with 2 more dead low cards (13/36) so if you are closing the action the pot only needs to be 3.5 BB before you call to make this EV neutral, with 7 BBs before you call this is definitely profitable.

Edit: if you are not closing the action then its a lot closer as you have only got 18% pot equity and are putting in 1/3 of the money in a capped pot on 6th. So it depends how many times the queen reraises and also how many times the kings reraise (where you have to fold as you no longer have the odds) and how many times the queens just call behind you or fold.
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