Re: NCAA BB Game of the Century - Louisville +2 vs. Kentucky
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Post the total home and away records and I think it hurts your arguement.
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Wrong.
Overall record is not relevant, because the home schedule is extremely weak compared to the schedule on the road and at neutral sites.
The against-the-spread results, however, you might find interesting:
Kentucky 2004-05 ATS
home: 5-6-1
away: 6-4
neutral: 5-4
Kentucky 2003-04 ATS
home: 7-5-1
away: 6-4-2
neutral: 3-3
Kentucky 2002-03 ATS (not including a home exhibition loss to powerhouse Nike Elite)
home: 6-6
road: 9-3
neutral: 6-3-1
Every year a higher ATS win % on the road than at home.
Overall
home: 18-17-2
away: 21-11-2
neutral: 14-10-1
Are you convinced yet? I can't believe I spent this much time doing this...it's common knowledge to others who follow the team as closely as I do.
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