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There's a rule that I learned pretty early that I think it +EV: someone who bets the turn when the top pair pairs is often bluffing. I thought this was kind of common knowledge, and thus, I never make this play against good players, and since I rarely bluff at donks, I never make this play.

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What do you put the CO on?

What do you think the CO will call with?

Even if he thinks you might be bluffing, that doesn't mean he will be calling you.

Yugoslav

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Good point. But, he may plan to raise the river; he may call with small pair; he may even call with A-high. I, personally, like to call this and raise the river.