Re: TJo all in, homegame
Wow.
I hate to pile on the bandwagon, but this really seems suicidal. I guess it could be +EV if you're pretty sure UTG+1 has nothing and BB will fold anything less than a set yet would check/raise with top pair -- I'd have to work out all the plausible hands for BB. More typically, I'm guessing you get called by BB's AQ or something similar.
The bigger issue is that you're in a "loose a lot/win a little" situation, so you have to be really sure noone else is going to call you. Consequently it's unlikely that the conditions would ever be right, given the betting in front of you, for this bluff to be +EV.
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All of us know that UTG probably doesn't have all that much.
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Well, yeah... you said that you were UTG and you had jack-high with backdoor straight and fourth-nut flush draws. I agree that UTG doesn't have much. :-)
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