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Old 09-10-2005, 01:36 AM
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Default Re: Anything that can happen will happen?

Dear remiraz,

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Will the occurance of black swans not contradict probability theory??

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You are distorting the work of Nassim Taleb [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Black swan events are a particularity of non-finite (or not completely known) sets. It doesn't apply to poker which is a game with, a large, but finite number of states (its set).

Unless you would consider being dealt AA 100 time in a row, a back swan event. I would not, it is a distinct possibility. In fact, it is AS possible as ANY arbitrary sequences of hole cards being.
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