Re: Weak top pair and then an overcard turns
The OP said "villian is your typical 40/5/1 3/6 6-max calling station." And to call the flop and turn on this board I put him on one of the following hands. 22, 44, 55, 66, 76, 75, 87, 97, T7, J7, Q7, K7, low possibility of an Ax because even an aggro factor of one will raise with TP on this board most of the time, and the obvious other hand he could be playing are diamonds which an LP would check behind anyway. I just don't think we are up against an A, J, or stronger 7 as much as we are a low pp or a weaker 7 and that is why i think i bet this.
p.s.- The percentages were approximations and I shouldn't do that without backing it up.
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