Re: My Reasoning Why You Should Fold In This Situation
This is wrong on many fronts.
for one, and it's been pointed out by others, by folding you are falsely assuring yourself of 2nd. I would say with under 2K chips second will happen maybe 50% of the time.
If the 2 short stacks go in against each other, the winner would be about equal to you in chips. Then he doubles up against the maniac, and your the short stack.
That plus - what if you have AQ, and the short stack doubles through you? now you might be out 4th.
Finally under the circumstances that you play AA and double up vs. the maniac - are you saying that you aren't better than him, and given close to equal stacks will only win the % of times compared to current stack sizes?
I would be very confident that with a 40/60 stack against a maniac heads up I would be able to win 60-65% of the time
|