View Single Post
  #4  
Old 03-26-2002, 05:41 PM
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Default I miss days like today - bad habits that worked



I used to trade counter-trend non-stop. It's beautiful, because on a day like today, I can say this is all computers, this is shorts, it's a mirage, there's no volume filling in behind it! And then, since I know there aren't any sellers, I can play for volume to materialize on the long side, buy from the computer shorts, and look like a king if the uptrend resumes.


In truth, you have to average down straight through a move like that, but I didn't want to set a bad example on the Internet Counter-trend trading in public is bad enough, but you can't really post entries with the trend and get an honest timestamp. In truth, I should have blown out at 41 when I got slipped on the entry, and reentered lower, but I can't spend a commission selling when I don't believe there to truly be sellers.


Well, sometimes I can. In the old days, I always played that exact move for a 3:00 Eastern-ish entry, and I was tempted to wait today. I guess I'm trendier than I used to be, with good reason. In California, we used to call that "The Noon Balloon." On the East Coast, Bill, did you guys ever call it "The 3:00 Jiggle?"


Gosh, I played that wrong. Note to readers: That ridiculous squeeze up to the close, that is what I call a "tail." It means there are more trend traders than actual buyers and sellers. As if that ridiculous runup in the morning wasn't enough to convince you of this. Actually, I got a little scared when the guys on CNBC starting sayign it was all computers. I don't like compant, and that is why I barely slipped away from it with a profit.


eLROY
Reply With Quote