[Flawed]

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This adjustment you can't make, however. That's because it will be correct for your opponents to fold as often (or more often) than you. Cutting the winning percentage of ATs without cutting that for your opponents makes your situation appear worse than it is.


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You can assume that the audience of your book will make more folds post flop then the fish who limps in with any random hand. you would fold ATs on a 5h5Jh board the fish wont and based on the random hands your opponents could have there is about a 2-4% chance that hand will win when all the cards are out. Bringing it down 1% seems reasonable 0% doesnt
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Your opponents won't fold when they should, you say? Well, that is, of course, to your benefit, not detriment.


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They wont fold whether you raise preflop or not so when you hit they'll pay you off no matter what you did preflop.

I was being generous with my numbers the error is definately not 1.3 or .76 Cant say exactly what it would be, but its definately under .6