Re: What to do, What to do?
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I don't see a tightie (4%PFR) raising with AQ or calling a reraise with it preflop. I also don't see AQ check-raising that flop unless he has seen you make alot of continuation bets lately. Did he hesitate with the check-raise or was it instant like he planned it? (in other words, did he decide you were bluffing after thinking about it or was he waiting on the edge of his computer chair waiting for a chance to baby bump ya?) If we can peg him as a tight player then we would probably be able to remove AQ from his possibles.
What does that leave us with? Tightwad isn't going to raise preflop with 88 or 55. He would with QQ and AA or maybe JJ and he is over his head and trying to make you lay it down (distant possibility). I am putting him on QQ with the PFR, not reraising your PFR (as he MIGHT with AA), bumping a little to get you pot committed on the flop, not worried about protecting anything with his mediocre turn bet, pushing when he fills up on the river. Seems like an easy read based on the information you gave us. I just can't see him playing this fast with any hand that you beat.
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Ya this is the exact thought process I went through.... by the time the river got there [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]
I'm kinda pissed at myself that I couldn't figure all that out by the time the flop check raise got there. At the time, the check min raise seemed like a feeler to see if I had AK. Of course, I convinced myself at the time that's why I should call. Then when he underbets the turn, I felt almost obligated to call. After the river push the pea-brain finally processed all the stuff you basically described, then I realized I had better muck. (so I did, obviously)
I think this is an example of the biggest leak in my game and I made this post to both "punish" myself and hopefully make others aware that it could be a problem in their game too. Anyone else find themselves going through this during a hand?
KoW
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