Re: Help calculating expected earn
Well it basiaclly contians the following.
1. Public Opinion
2. Line Moves
3. Trend analysis
In all three I have anywhere from 1-10 stats (or data) inputs that I use. I'll be betting at Hollywood which offers -107 on all their bets, and I think I can handle the variance. Playing poker for the past 3 years helps a lot there.
I'm not sure what you mean though when you say
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What data did you use to form your hypothesis (system)? If you backtested over seperate data that's ok, but if you used the same data then your results are obviously biased.
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One of the first things I set out to look for is a system that has been working for the past 3-5 years. I don't think historical data pre lets say 1990 is all that important, espcially not for my system since it uses a lot of variables that only recently have come about.
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