[BobboFitos]

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Here's the problem. You really only win 30% of the time when he calls, because I think he folds anything less than AK, and if we add KK to his range you win even less.


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I agree with this, although KK or 55 are very unlikely given preflop action (no reraise w/ KK) and bayes theorem (only 1 possible combination with 55)

so really a raise is a dominated king which he may or may not fold (which you have 45% equity) or AK / A5 type, which I think is a big %. And there you have, as xorbie says, ~1/3rd equity.

i dont understand

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Honestly I think I like a call and leading turn for half pot.

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why? If he has trips he can blow you off his hand, and if raises this flop most turns wont make him not like his hand. only thing this is good is if he gets passive and just calls, but if he just calls, he probablt was going to bet less then half pot anyway, so we dont need ot set our own odds.