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Old 12-31-2005, 04:08 AM
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Default Re: Donking into Death

PREFLOP: Standard

FLOP: You should bet. This pot is large and 5 handed, Although your holding is vulnerable, you probably have the best hand at the moment. Your goal now is to find a way to eliminate the most players possible before the turn card. Since there is only one person between you and DD, but there are two behind him, you should bet out to pressure the guy in the middle to fold, and hope that DD will raise with a hand lesser than yours to force out the other two players. Becuze of your relative position on the flop, betting out is better than going for the checkraise IMO.
Now given that you checked and DD bets and everyone folds back to you, you should now raise to get that guy in the middle out, your hand plays much better in the long run if you are heads up with DD on the turn. I realize that if DD has a better hand than you, these strategies are just gonna cost you extra bets, but when the pot is large and multiway you must play aggressive in spots like these to protect your one pair vulnerable hand the times it is good.

Turn: Becuz there is a guy in the middle, I like your bet here, you hand really isnt strong enough to checkraise, so betting is the best way to put pressure on the guy in the middle. Given that you bet and the middle guy called and DD raised, This probably means you have 3 outs or less so you should fold. I highly doubt that DD is running some kind of a protected pot bluff-raise becuz he thinks you will lay this hand down. He cant read your mind so this is a good fold becuz when a player like DD raises the turn after two people are committed he will have the goods almost every time.

If you wouldve bet and the middle guy folded, and then DD raised I would probably call down since your turn donk is actually a sign of weakness that DD may take advantage of. He may pop you with QQ or AJ or a flushdraw/piece just to see if you can handle the pressure. On the river I would still call if DD bets becuz at this point the pot is very large and I dont know for sure if DD would check a weak made hand on the river, since he knows that your hand is weak based on how you played it. And he may be wise enough on your play to realize that you may fold the river to his bet becuz you would assume that he would check his weak made hands like AJ,QQ, which may lead him to bet these very hands trying to exploit this tendency. Becuz of this potential problem, I would check/call the river. Not saying its the right play but just telling you what I would do and why.
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