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Old 12-05-2005, 12:25 PM
Percula Percula is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 126
Default Re: Live 5-150 hand, rivered flush against a tricky agro

[ QUOTE ]
I think you can...

It should be pretty clear by the action that he doesn't have two pair. Evidence is mounting: If he had a T, he would have bet the flop. If he had two pair on the turn, he would have bet regardless if you were threatening to check-raise or not. The only semi-reasonable hand that rivers two pair is K8. In addition no thinking sane player with any two pair hand will give you this much action on the river.

It's pretty simple: He has a QJ for a straight, or he made a diamond flush too. I think even the straight has to respect 3 diamonds on board and will just call your river check-raise, so I'm going on the assumption he has a flush, but keep in mind you have a fairly strong flush, one that beats many of his possibilities.

Actually it's kind of moot. You're given 495:150 pot odds. You have to call here, but you cannot re-raise if that's what you're thinking. Be thankful this isn't no-limit where a push by him will force you to make a real decision.

Garland

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What makes me unsure of his range is his past action in a similar situation where he raised like this with air. He RR a river HU and was RR and insta mucked. I also seen him make a river RR and as soon as the other player called he insta mucked.

I agree if he is being straight forward and not making a move then he only has two hands the straight or a flush. If he has the flush his range is pretty wide and I am likely ahead.

I am thinking a raise is the line here. There is a fair amount of value in not showning down my hand. I have been running over the table when I have been in a hand and I have been able to pickup several pots with air as a result. The 9 high flush would cut into that image, even though it shouldn't it would.
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